Punter

This week seems to have gone by very fast, but regardless another round of football is upon us. Not much comentary this week, but if anything the Blues and the Crows might be fair cantidates for an upset according to Punter.

Quote of the week:

“Nothing endures but change”

Heraclitus

Probability Punter Bookie	Gold	Silver
Bombers 42.40% $2.36 N/A Bulldogs 57.60% $1.74 N/A
Blues 36.73% $2.72 N/A Swans 63.27% $1.58 N/A
Cats 68.00% $1.47 N/A Demons 32.00% $3.13 N/A
Dockers 20.18% $4.96 N/A Lions 79.82% $1.25 N/A
Magpies 60.35% $1.66 N/A Hawks 39.65% $2.52 N/A
Power 66.86% $1.50 N/A Eagles 33.14% $3.02 N/A
Tigers 42.94% $2.33 N/A Kangaroos 57.06% $1.75 N/A
Saints 61.42% $1.63 N/A Crows 38.58% $2.59 N/A
Pre-Season: 5 correct tips from 15 games. 33% accuracy Premiership: 75 correct tips from 120 games. 63% accuracy Total: 80 correct tips from 135 games. 59% accuracy	4/9 44% 38/53 72% 42/62 68%	0/1 0% 26/41 63% 26/42 62%

This week does not pose a lot of particularly contriversial decisions. Perhaps the most interesting are the Hawks, and Swans games, with each respectivley being questionable in their ability to win.

Quote of the week:
“There may be fairies at the bottom of the garden. There is no evidence for it, but you can’t prove that there aren’t any, so shouldn’t we be agnostic with respect to fairies?”

Richard Dawkins

Probability Punter Bookie	Gold	Silver
Bulldogs 61.43% $1.63 N/A Magpies 38.57% $2.59 N/A
Swans 59.88% $1.67 N/A Bombers 40.12% $2.49 N/A
Blues 58.02% $1.72 N/A Tigers 41.98% $2.38 N/A
Lions 30.76% $3.25 N/A Cats 69.24% $1.44 N/A
Crows 83.24% $1.20 N/A Dockers 16.76% $5.97 N/A
Hawks 56.67% $1.76 N/A Kangaroos 43.33% $2.31 N/A
Demons 26.95% $3.71 N/A Power 73.05% $1.37 N/A
Eagles 37.52% $2.67 N/A Saints 62.48% $1.60 N/A
Pre-Season: 5 correct tips from 15 games. 33% accuracy Premiership: 71 correct tips from 112 games. 63% accuracy Total: 76 correct tips from 127 games. 60% accuracy	4/9 44% 36/48 75% 40/57 70%	0/1 0% 24/38 63% 24/39 62%

Somehow I have managed to get these tips out, in between doing bits of my regular job. The week has not been too busy, just a case of managing expectations.  I will probably also have tomanage my expectations for these tips this week after nearly taking a clean sweep. In general though, I suspect it might have been a good week for most people, but that in it’s own right is an interesting thing. For tipping it’s not good if the computer behaves like a human, but a computer that behaves like a human, now thats something that should spark interest in anyone who knows what the turing test is

My best thought for this week is perhaps the Bulldogs, but I can help thinking that the Hawks might close the price gap later in the week (being the premiers), and there may be some better prices for the dogs on offer. The other interesting fact for this week is the Demons vs. the Eagles. Considering that not a lot seperates the teams on the ladder, the Eagles have an enormous percentage comparitivly.

Quote of the week:

“Before we work on artificial intelligence why don’t we do something about natural stupidity?”

Steve Polyak

Probability Punter Bookie	Gold	Silver
Magpies 56.33% $1.78 N/A Bombers 43.67% $2.29 N/A
Demons 18.12% $5.52 N/A Eagles 81.88% $1.22 N/A
Power 43.08% $2.32 N/A Lions 56.92% $1.76 N/A
Tigers 21.31% $4.69 N/A Crows 78.69% $1.27 N/A
Bulldogs 69.79% $1.43 N/A Hawks 30.21% $3.31 N/A
Swans 56.01% $1.79 N/A Kangaroos 43.99% $2.27 N/A
Saints 51.00% $1.96 N/A Cats 49.00% $2.04 N/A
Dockers 61.63% $1.62 N/A Blues 38.37% $2.61 N/A
Pre-Season: 5 correct tips from 15 games. 33% accuracy Premiership: 66 correct tips from 104 games. 63% accuracy Total: 71 correct tips from 119 games. 60% accuracy	4/9 44% 34/45 76% 38/54 70%	0/1 0% 21/34 62% 21/35 60%