Aug 28

All good things have to come to an end, and as such we are at the end of the 2008 home & away season. As goes the saying “it’s all relative”, and I suppose good is only defined by the fact your team doesn’t get flogged week in and week out. When all is said & done, the year in general hasn’t been too bad.

I’m afraid I can’t say the same for the poor, overconfident, humans over the past few weeks. To point out the stupidly obvious, I could have purposely stupid decisions to make the computer look better, but you’ll have to just trust me that I suck at tipping football games. So much so that I have managed a meager 25% hit rate so far. I will bravely continue on into the finals, but I would need a small miracle at this rate just to break even.

Without further a do, the tips for the last round of the 2008 home & away, and then launch into another finals campaign. This round looks to be one of the hardest I’ve seen in a while. On really little more than a hunch, I’m going to say that the Bulldogs will win over the Crows. My rationale??? I just think so. I really don’t have anything much better than that at the moment.

Currently:
Punter: 6/8 (75%)
Me: 2/8 (25%)

My overrides this week:
Bulldogs to beat the Crows

Quote of the week:
“The only way to comprehend what mathematicians mean by Infinity is to contemplate the extent of human stupidity.”
Voltaire (François-Marie Arouet)

Probability Punter Bookie
Gold Silver
Dockers:    46.794% $2.14 $2.65
Magpies:    53.206% $1.88 $1.48
Kangaroos:    56.231% $1.78 $1.19
Power:    43.769% $2.28 $4.75
Cats:    74.961% $1.33 $1.01
Eagles:    25.039% $3.99 $15.00
Crows:    61.940% $1.61 $1.82
Western Bulldogs:    38.060% $2.63 $2.00
Blues:    46.666% $2.14 $2.95
Hawks:    53.334% $1.87 $1.40
Swans:    67.139% $1.49 $1.48
Lions:    32.861% $3.04 $2.65
Demons:    23.040% $4.34 $4.75
Tigers:    76.960% $1.30 $1.19
Bombers:    28.646% $3.49 $6.25
Saints:    71.354% $1.40 $1.12
Premiership: 106 correct tips from 168 games. 63.10% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
Total: 116 correct tips from 183 games. 63.39% accuracy.
49/69 71%
4/7 57%
53/76 70%
36/60 60%
3/4 75%
39/64 61%

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