Welcome to the special Saturday edition of Punter this week….mainly because I forgot to get my tips out by last night. I’ve been distracted for most of the week with trying to get an XML parser to work in some c++ code. Thankfully I won that battle, but it was real fight finding a good XML parser. I wasn’t losing too much sleep as the fact the Bulldogs won last night didn’t come as any great surprise, then I just saw the Punter results…
Now if I had of done these last night the Dogs would be an obvious override, but given that game is over, I’m just going to have to pick another one. I’m looking at either the Crows over the Saints, or Swans over the Magpies. I’m tempted to go with the Crows again, but I’m not sure if they’re capable of three in a row, so I’m going to go with Swans.
Currently:
Punter: 5/7 (71.4%)
Me: 2/7 (28.6%)
My overrides this week:
Swans to beat the Magpies
Reference of the week:
Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas? (Paper)
Edward Lorenz
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Probability
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Punter
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Bookie
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Gold
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Silver
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Western Bulldogs:
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45.418%
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$2.20
|
$1.12
|
|
Bombers:
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54.582%
|
$1.83
|
$6.25
|
|
|
|
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Tigers:
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61.576%
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$1.62
|
$1.35
|
|
Dockers:
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38.424%
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$2.60
|
$3.20
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|
|
|
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Power:
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57.788%
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$1.73
|
$1.37
|
|
Demons:
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42.212%
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$2.37
|
$3.10
|
|
|
|
|
Lions:
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82.124%
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$1.22
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$1.45
|
|
Blues:
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17.876%
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$5.59
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$2.75
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|
|
|
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Magpies:
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56.647%
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$1.77
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$1.74
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|
Swans:
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43.352%
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$2.31
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$2.10
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|
|
|
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Cats:
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62.028%
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$1.61
|
$1.15
|
|
Kangaroos:
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37.972%
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$2.63
|
$5.25
|
|
|
|
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Saints:
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59.236%
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$1.69
|
$1.75
|
|
Crows:
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40.764%
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$2.45
|
$2.08
|
|
|
|
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Eagles:
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45.682%
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$2.19
|
$6.25
|
|
Hawks:
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54.318%
|
$1.84
|
$1.12
|
|
|
|
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Premiership: 100 correct tips from 160 games. 62.50% accuracy.
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Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
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Total: 110 correct tips from 175 games. 62.86% accuracy.
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|
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48/67 72%
|
|
4/7 57%
|
|
52/74 70%
|
|
|
32/56 57%
|
|
3/4 75%
|
|
35/60 58%
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