Jul 23

Well, it principle it was a good idea last week, but it seems that the system had other plans. Ok, so it wasn’t that bad, and given the results I didn’t really have much chance of picking a winner last week.

There are only a couple of options IMO this week. I would think that Lions are a better chance than they are shown as, and for some reason I would have picked the Dockers over the Power. Now the question that I have is, how much do I trust my judgment? I think the dockers are out as logic says that they are not likely winners at the best of times. That leaves the Lions. Now I could chicken out of this very easily and say I don’t know, but given the averages I know that Punter gets about three games wrong each week. I think with this info, I need to make a new rule that I must make at least one override each week. With that, the Lions it is.

Currently:
Punter: 1/1 (100%
Me: 0/1 (0%)

Quote of the week:
“Anyone who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new.”
Albert Einstein

Probability Punter Bookie
Gold Silver
Hawks: 50.284% $1.99 $3.15
Cats: 49.716% $2.01 $1.37
Bombers: 37.992% $2.63 $3.70
Magpies: 62.008% $1.61 $1.29
Eagles: 22.483% $4.45 $5.75
Saints: 77.517% $1.29 $1.14
Tigers: 57.010% $1.75 $1.63
Lions: 42.990% $2.33 $2.28
Swans: 53.247% $1.88 $1.44
Crows: 46.753% $2.14 $2.85
Power: 67.179% $1.49 $1.58
Dockers: 32.821% $3.05 $2.42
Demons: 16.548% $6.04 $4.75
Kangaroos: 83.452% $1.20 $1.19
Western Bulldogs: 66.754% $1.50 $1.28
Blues: 33.246% $3.01 $3.75
Premiership: 82 correct tips from 128 games. 64.06% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
Total: 92 correct tips from 143 games. 64.34% accuracy.
40/53 75%
4/7 57%
44/60 73%
25/45 56%
3/4 75%
28/49 57%

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