How many idiots does it take to screw in a light bulb? As many as your budget allows for. They’ll all tell you they know how to do it, each will have a different approach, and none will actually have any idea what they are doing. Suffice to say I’ve had a long couple of weeks, but there is light at the end of the tunnel. Let’s just hope it’s not that bloody train again. I’ve been doing some interesting reading around some of the data analysis techniques for data mining large datasets, and perhaps in the near future I might be able to employ some of the techniques to provide some more insight into the world of AFL. Very interesting stuff, especially when you take into account that when you buy something online, you could actually be part of one giant experiment…
Well the split round is over, and we’re back into a normal ol’ weekend of footy. My percentages didn’t budge too much over the last fortnight, but the Dons & the Pies did come good for me.
The forecast for this weekend:
Friday night will bring a tight arm wrestle, finally seeing the Saints getting and edge. This will continue onto Saturday afternoon until a strong hiding in the form of Geelong belting Freo all over the park. Saturday evening should return to some tight arm wrestles, before Sunday where there is a high likelihood that an severely undermanned Swans will be blown away by a far stronger Hawks unit. The rest of Sunday should be pretty clear sailing with the Bulldogs easily accounting for cellar dwelling Demons.
Quote of the week:
“The wise man questions the wisdom of others because he questions his own, the foolish man, because it is different from his own.”
Leo Stein
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Probability
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Punter
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Bookie
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Gold
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Silver
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Blues:
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46.620%
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$2.15
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$1.90
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Saints:
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53.380%
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$1.87
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$2.00
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Magpies:
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56.906%
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$1.76
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$1.37
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Crows:
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43.094%
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$2.32
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$2.88
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Cats:
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85.754%
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$1.17
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$1.07
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Dockers:
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14.246%
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$7.02
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$11.00
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Bombers:
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46.116%
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$2.17
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$2.38
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Lions:
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53.884%
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$1.86
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$1.64
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Power:
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50.122%
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$2.00
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$1.50
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Kangaroos:
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49.878%
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$2.00
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$1.95
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Hawks:
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49.865%
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$2.01
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$1.35
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Swans:
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50.135%
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$1.99
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$2.10
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Western Bulldogs:
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71.571%
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$1.40
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$1.06
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Demons:
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28.429%
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$3.52
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$3.50
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Eagles:
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56.124%
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$1.78
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$1.55
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Tigers:
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43.876%
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$2.28
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$1.84
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Premiership: 72 correct tips from 112 games. 64.29% accuracy.
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Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
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Total: 82 correct tips from 127 games. 64.57% accuracy.
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37/49 76%
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4/7 57%
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41/56 73%
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|
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19/37 51%
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|
3/4 75%
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22/41 54%
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