God I hate winter, and if there is one thing that I hate more than winter, it’s the flu that comes along with it. Ah well, I was going to see the Sydney game on the weekend, but it was a no brainer that Sydney would clean up against Melbourne. As they say the show must go on, but I will not be the least bit sad to see the warmth return sooner rather than later.
The tips are out, and I look forward to some interesting games for the next couple of weekends. The closeness of the Eagles says that perhaps their $10 price tag might be of some value . . . but perhaps it’s the human in me, but I’m still not 100% convinced.
The two I have my eye on this week(s) are the Dons & the Pies. Apart from playing in Perth, I think the Bombers are a lot closer than their odds would indicate, and at $2.50 might be worth a little bit. The Magpies are the interesting one for me. Something has the Pies fans spooked (or the Swans supporters with the tails in the air), and Sydney seem to have an inflated price. Add the fact that Goodes is suspended, and I think that the Magpies should have a real chance of taking it up to the Swans.
Quote of the week:
“If quantum mechanics hasn’t profoundly shocked you, you haven’t understood it yet.”
Niels Bohr
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Probability
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Punter
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Bookie
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Gold
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Silver
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Hawks:
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57.990%
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$1.72
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$1.06
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Eagles:
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42.010%
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$2.38
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$10.00
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Tigers:
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58.241%
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$1.72
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$1.66
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Blues:
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41.759%
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$2.39
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$2.22
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Kangaroos:
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51.824%
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$1.93
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$1.60
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Saints:
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48.176%
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$2.08
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$2.40
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Western Bulldogs:
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80.665%
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$1.24
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$1.13
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Power:
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19.335%
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$5.17
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$6.25
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Demons:
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18.327%
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$5.46
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$4.70
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Lions:
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81.673%
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$1.22
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$1.20
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Dockers:
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50.679%
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$1.97
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$1.55
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Bombers:
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49.321%
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$2.03
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$2.50
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Crows:
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35.541%
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$2.81
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$5.00
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Cats:
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64.459%
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$1.55
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$1.17
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Swans:
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49.651%
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$2.01
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$1.46
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Magpies:
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50.349%
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$1.99
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$2.70
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Premiership: 68 correct tips from 104 games. 65.38% accuracy.
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Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
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Total: 78 correct tips from 119 games. 65.55% accuracy.
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35/46 76%
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4/7 57%
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39/53 74%
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18/33 55%
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3/4 75%
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21/37 57%
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