It lives, it lives… ok, so my computer is a pile of crap, but it is working (for now). Until the next catastrophe I have some more tips, yay.
I’m glad I got my tips out last week, otherwise my cred would be dashed. 7 out 8 was not too bad, but once again all tips were the favorites. Pretty much the same story this week, but with perhaps a less subtle twist. Statistically speaking, the home team wins around 60% of the time, but this week I only have two home teams tipped. Of course this pattens works it’s way out in various forms, but in theory about 4-5 home teams should win this week, but of course there are many factors effecting that.
So who could be a likely candidate (if any)? Given the close nature I think the Kangaroos could be a good chance to rock the boat, and with what should be some home ground advantage, West Coast might have half a chance of getting up. Also, for the record, Port Adelaide have the best record at home, but with a more inform Carlton things could be tight.
|
|
Probability
|
Punter
|
Bookie
|
|
Gold
|
Silver
|
|
Kangaroos:
|
45.185%
|
$2.21
|
$5.50
|
|
Cats:
|
54.815%
|
$1.82
|
$1.15
|
|
|
|
|
Tigers:
|
33.317%
|
$3.00
|
$2.55
|
|
Crows:
|
66.683%
|
$1.50
|
$1.50
|
|
|
|
|
Bombers:
|
1.070%
|
$93.47
|
$6.50
|
|
Hawks:
|
98.930%
|
$1.01
|
$1.11
|
|
|
|
|
Eagles:
|
33.653%
|
$2.97
|
$3.90
|
|
Swans:
|
66.347%
|
$1.51
|
$1.25
|
|
|
|
|
Lions:
|
98.930%
|
$1.01
|
$1.16
|
|
Dockers:
|
1.070%
|
$93.42
|
$5.25
|
|
|
|
|
Saints:
|
41.260%
|
$2.42
|
$2.70
|
|
Western Bulldogs:
|
58.740%
|
$1.70
|
$1.46
|
|
|
|
|
Power:
|
53.618%
|
$1.87
|
$1.12
|
|
Blues:
|
46.382%
|
$2.16
|
$6.00
|
|
|
|
|
Demons:
|
33.669%
|
$2.97
|
$9.00
|
|
Magpies:
|
66.331%
|
$1.51
|
$1.06
|
|
|
|
|
Premiership: 54 correct tips from 80 games. 67.50% accuracy.
|
|
Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
|
|
Total: 64 correct tips from 95 games. 67.37% accuracy.
|
|
|
24/32 75%
|
|
4/7 57%
|
|
28/39 72%
|
|
|
16/26 62%
|
|
3/4 75%
|
|
19/30 63%
|
|
