May 21

A fairly good result last round with 7 correct, so what does this round hold? I did notice last week that the results of punter did align highly with the bookies. This has perked my interest and will be something worth investigating.

For this week, the Swans seem to be the surprise packet of value. I’m not sure exactly what the history is between these two teams, but I would think Sydney are a good chance of an upset. The Saints could also be a bit of value, but I don’t think I’d want my life to depend on the Saints producing a predictable result.

Probability Punter Bookie
Gold Silver
Magpies:    33.140% $3.02 $4.50
Cats:    66.860% $1.50 $1.21
Blues:    42.350% $2.36 $1.80
Dockers:    57.650% $1.73 $2.00
Power:    28.331% $3.53 $1.56
Swans:    71.669% $1.40 $2.45
Bombers:    37.754% $2.65 $3.25
Tigers:    62.246% $1.61 $1.35
Eagles:    20.185% $4.95 $3.55
Crows:    79.815% $1.25 $1.30
Lions:    63.454% $1.58 $1.23
Saints:    36.546% $2.74 $4.25
Demons:    13.367% $7.48 $12.50
Hawks:    86.633% $1.15 $1.03
Western Bulldogs:    52.177% $1.92 $1.44
Kangaroos:    47.823% $2.09 $2.80
Premiership: 43 correct tips from 64 games. 67.19% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
Total: 53 correct tips from 79 games. 67.09% accuracy.
18/24 75%
4/7 57%
22/31 71%
12/20 60%
3/4 75%
15/24 63%

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