May 14

Let the games begin (again). Sideshows aside, it’s back to business. North Melbourne play on the Gold Coast after snubbing them as their new home, and can Melbourne back up the last rounds effort with another win?

The numbers don’t exactly show anything ground breaking this week, with all but one of the predictions aligning very nicely with the bookies. I don’t think there will be much in the Saints clash with both teams being up & down, making it a little unstable to have a stab at. If I had to take one tip, I might look at Carlton, with perhaps some value there.

Also this week, I have a new format for my results. I have tried to streamline the appearance to make it simpler, but if you have any feedback feel free to leave comments about it.

Probability Punter Bookie
Gold Silver
Saints:    63.698% $1.57 $2.37
Magpies:    36.302% $2.75 $1.62
Hawks:    55.544% $1.80 $1.40
Power:    44.456% $2.25 $3.05
Tigers:    18.578% $5.38 $5.00
Cats:    81.422% $1.23 $1.19
Blues:    37.692% $2.65 $2.05
Lions:    62.308% $1.60 $1.82
Kangaroos:    59.821% $1.67 $1.25
Eagles:    40.179% $2.49 $4.20
Crows:    78.907% $1.27 $1.10
Demons:    21.093% $4.74 $7.50
Swans:    72.778% $1.37 $1.11
Bombers:    27.222% $3.67 $7.25
Dockers:    21.581% $4.63 $2.10
Western Bulldogs:    78.419% $1.28 $1.78
Premiership: 36 correct tips from 56 games. 64.29% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 10 correct tips from 15 games. 66.67% accuracy.
Total: 46 correct tips from 71 games. 64.79% accuracy.
14/20 70%
4/7 57%
18/27 67%
10/17 59%
3/4 75%
13/21 62%

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