Apr 23

Well, from the look of things this week, the ANZAC day clash should be good game, with very little between the two teams. Might be a tiny bit of value in it, but I doubt it.

The game that stands out for me is the Power vs. Saints game. I don’t rate the Saints highly at the best of times, and statistically speaking Port has a an envious record at home. That said, I would have thought that Saints would be at least even odds given the poor start for the Power this year. Should be interesting.

Home Team Probability Away Team Probability Gold Silver
Magpies 49.849%
Bombers 50.151%
Bookie:
$1.53
Punter:
$2.01
Bookie:
$2.50
Punter:
$1.99
Dockers 15.352%
Cats 84.648%
Bookie:
$4.85
Punter:
$6.51
Bookie:
$1.18
Punter:
$1.18
Gold Star Game
Blues 38.289%
Crows 61.711%
Bookie:
$2.12
Punter:
$2.61
Bookie:
$1.72
Punter:
$1.62
Western Bulldogs 62.676%
Eagles 37.324%
Bookie:
$1.25
Punter:
$1.60
Bookie:
$4.00
Punter:
$2.68
Gold Star Game
Power 36.197%
Saints 63.803%
Bookie:
$1.67
Punter:
$2.76
Bookie:
$2.20
Punter:
$1.57
Lions 62.259%
Demons 37.741%
Bookie:
$1.10
Punter:
$1.61
Bookie:
$7.00
Punter:
$2.65
Silver Star Game
Kangaroos 63.804%
Swans 36.196%
Bookie:
$1.95
Punter:
$1.57
Bookie:
$1.85
Punter:
$2.76
Silver Star Game
Hawks 61.578%
Tigers 38.422%
Bookie:
$1.23
Punter:
$1.62
Bookie:
$4.20
Punter:
$2.60
Gold Star Game
Premiership: 25 correct picks from 40 games. 62.50% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 11 correct picks from 15 games. 73.33% accuracy.
Total: 36 correct picks from 55 games. 65.45% accuracy.
8/13 62%
4/7 57%
12/20 60%
7/12 58%
4/4 100%
11/16 69%
Apr 16
Home Team Probability Away Team Probability Gold Silver
Saints 58.436%
Bombers 41.564%
Bookie:
$1.38
Punter:
$1.71
Bookie:
$3.05
Punter:
$2.41
Silver Star Game
Cats 67.139%
Swans 32.861%
Bookie:
$1.22
Punter:
$1.49
Bookie:
$4.30
Punter:
$3.04
Gold Star Game
Crows 54.423%
Dockers 45.577%
Bookie:
$1.43
Punter:
$1.84
Bookie:
$2.90
Punter:
$2.19
Silver Star Game
Lions 50.415%
Hawks 49.585%
Bookie:
$2.12
Punter:
$1.98
Bookie:
$1.72
Punter:
$2.02
Silver Star Game
Magpies 50.395%
Kangaroos 49.605%
Bookie:
$1.67
Punter:
$1.98
Bookie:
$2.20
Punter:
$2.02
Silver Star Game
Demons 44.919%
Blues 55.081%
Bookie:
$2.90
Punter:
$2.23
Bookie:
$1.41
Punter:
$1.82
Western Bulldogs 80.390%
Tigers 19.610%
Bookie:
$1.40
Punter:
$1.24
Bookie:
$2.95
Punter:
$5.10
Gold Star Game
Eagles 33.044%
Power 66.956%
Bookie:
$2.05
Punter:
$3.03
Bookie:
$1.90
Punter:
$1.49
Premiership: 19 correct picks from 32 games. 59.38% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 11 correct picks from 15 games. 73.33% accuracy.
Total: 30 correct picks from 47 games. 63.83% accuracy.
6/11 55%
4/7 57%
10/18 56%
5/8 63%
4/4 100%
9/12 75%
Apr 9

AFL Premiership 2008 - Round 4

Home Team Probability Away Team Probability Gold Silver
Bombers 39.723%
Western Bulldogs 60.277%
Bookie:
$2.30
Punter:
$2.52
Bookie:
$1.65
Punter:
$1.66
Saints 47.479%
Cats 52.521%
Bookie:
$4.10
Punter:
$2.11
Bookie:
$1.25
Punter:
$1.90
Kangaroos 65.817%
Demons 34.183%
Bookie:
$1.28
Punter:
$1.52
Bookie:
$3.75
Punter:
$2.93
Silver Star Game
Swans 47.218%
Eagles 52.782%
Bookie:
$1.24
Punter:
$2.12
Bookie:
$4.20
Punter:
$1.89
Power 37.325%
Lions 62.675%
Bookie:
$1.47
Punter:
$2.68
Bookie:
$2.75
Punter:
$1.60
Hawks 46.796%
Crows 53.204%
Bookie:
$1.42
Punter:
$2.14
Bookie:
$3.00
Punter:
$1.88
Blues 9.935%
Magpies 90.065%
Bookie:
$4.00
Punter:
$10.07
Bookie:
$1.26
Punter:
$1.11
Gold Star Game
Dockers 80.200%
Tigers 19.800%
Bookie:
$1.17
Punter:
$1.25
Bookie:
$5.35
Punter:
$5.05
Gold Star Game
Premiership: 15 correct picks from 24 games. 62.50% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 11 correct picks from 15 games. 73.33% accuracy.
Total: 26 correct picks from 39 games. 66.67% accuracy.
6/9 67%
4/7 57%
10/16 63%
4/7 57%
4/4 100%
8/11 73%
Apr 5

Hi all,

This is my first attempt at getting some tips up, albeit halfway through a round. I think the formatting will need some attention into the future, but I think you get the general idea :P

I hope to be adding a little more content along the way as well as just Tips, but small steps first.

From what’s left, think the Tigers might be worth a shot, with the Magpies price possibly being artificially pushed down by the unclean masses (i.e. Collingwood supporters)

AFL Premiership 2008 - Round 3

Home Team Probability Away Team Probability Gold Silver
Western Bulldogs 34.785%
Saints 65.215%
Bookie:
$2.75
Punter:
$2.87
Bookie:
$1.45
Punter:
$1.53
Gold Star Game
Kangaroos 43.789%
Hawks 56.211%
Bookie:
$2.75
Punter:
$2.28
Bookie:
$1.45
Punter:
$1.78
Eagles 39.661%
Dockers 60.339%
Bookie:
$1.95
Punter:
$2.52
Bookie:
$1.85
Punter:
$1.66
Lions 45.233%
Swans 54.767%
Bookie:
$1.71
Punter:
$2.21
Bookie:
$2.13
Punter:
$1.83
Bombers 57.083%
Blues 42.917%
Bookie:
$1.67
Punter:
$1.75
Bookie:
$2.20
Punter:
$2.33
Silver Star Game
Cats 66.212%
Demons 33.788%
Bookie:
$1.02
Punter:
$1.51
Bookie:
$14.00
Punter:
$2.96
Gold Star Game
Tigers 45.332%
Magpies 54.668%
Bookie:
$3.20
Punter:
$2.21
Bookie:
$1.35
Punter:
$1.83
Crows 69.070%
Power 30.930%
Bookie:
$1.68
Punter:
$1.45
Bookie:
$2.18
Punter:
$3.23
Gold Star Game
Premiership: 8 correct picks from 16 games. 50.00% accuracy.
Pre-Season: 11 correct picks from 15 games. 73.33% accuracy.
Total: 19 correct picks from 31 games. 61.29% accuracy.
4/6 67%
4/7 57%
8/13 62%
3/6 50%
4/4 100%
7/10 70%
Apr 3

Over to the PokerPlasm blog sphere!